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Ingegneria Sismica

Ingegneria Sismica

Research on a wind power forecasting model for wind farm clusters based on the fusion of spatiotemporal graph convolutional networks and FedFormer

Author(s): Xu Cao1
1Key Laboratory of Modern Power System Simulation and Control & Renewable Energy Technology, Ministry of Education (Northeast Electric Power University), Jilin 132012, China
Cao, Xu. “Research on a wind power forecasting model for wind farm clusters based on the fusion of spatiotemporal graph convolutional networks and FedFormer.” Ingegneria Sismica Volume 43 Issue 2: 1-16, doi:10.65102/is2026816.

Abstract

 Advances in artificial intelligence and intelligent algorithms have driven the evolution of wind power forecasting toward spatio-temporal collaborative modeling and distributed learning. This paper proposes a wind farm cluster power forecasting model that integrates ST-GCN and FedFormer. Based on wind farm cluster graph modeling, ST-GCN is used to extract spatially coupled and local temporal features, while FedFormer is employed to enhance the representation of long-term trends and frequency-domain information. Collaborative training is performed within a federated framework.Experimental results show that on the validation set, the model achieves MAE, RMSE, and MAPE of 16.87%, 23.14%, and 6.38%, respectively, outperforming FedFormer’s 18.21%, 24.97%, and 6.95% and ST-GCN’s 18.74%, 25.86%, and 7.21%, demonstrating higher accuracy and stability.

Keywords
wind power forecasting; spatio-temporal convolutional network; FedFormer; federated learning; wind farm cluster

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